Analysis of the science fiction novels listed in the Goodreads Choice Awards 2013.

In my last post I analysed 13 science fiction books published in the US in January 2014. In this post I analyse the Goodreads Choice Awards for science fiction in 2013. I am interested to see what similarities there are between what is currently being published and what people are enjoying reading.

To create the Choice Awards, the Goodreads operators nominated 15 novels, based on the amount of positive reviews for those books on Goodreads. They also allowed Goodreads readers to add a further five novels to that list. Goodreads members then voted for their favourite from the 20 novels.

This is how they voted, with a quick analysis by me of the book after its title.

1. MaddAddam, Margaret Atwood (16,481 votes)

Concept: Survivors of a human made plague fight off each other and genetically engineered creatures.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, this is the third book in a trilogy

Debut novel: No

Nationality of Author: Canadian.

2. Dust, Hugh Howey (13,802)

Concept: The remnants of humanity live in underground silos, most of them unaware of their fate, except those who created the silos.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, this is the third book in a trilogy

Debut novel: No

Nationality of Author: American.

3. Earth Afire, Orson Scott Card and Aaron Johnston (8159)

Concept: Earth is attacked by insect like aliens.

Sub-genre: Military

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, prequel to Ender’s Game

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Authors: Both are American.

4. Lexicon, Max Barry (4696)

Concept: Students harness the hidden power of language to manipulate the mind and take control of other people’s thoughts.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: Australian.

5. The Human Division, John Scalzi (4301)

Concept: The people of Earth have to decide whether to remain in the colonial union or join the aliens the union have been fighting.

Sub-genre: Military

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, it’s a sequel.

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author:  American.

6. The Humans, Matt Haig (3750)

Concept: An alien is set to Earth to kill the discoverer of a scientific breakthrough which threatens the alien’s world.

Sub-genre: First contact

Market: Adult

Series: No.

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: English.

7. Countdown City, Ben H. Winters (3482)

Concept: A policeman searches for a woman’s husband in a world about to be destroyed by an asteroid.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, it’s the second in a series

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: American.

8. Great North Road, Peter F. Hamilton (3387)

Concept:  A detective investigates the murder of a clone.

Sub-genre: Thriller

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: British.

9. Abaddons Gate, James S.A. Corey (3004)

Concept:  Scientists investigate an alien artefact which has built a massive gate in Uranus’ orbit. The gate leads to a starless dark.

Sub-genre: First contact

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, it’s number three in a series

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author:  James S.A. Corey is the penname of collaborators Daniel Abraham and Ty Franck, both are American.

10. The Lives of Tao, Wesley Chu (2995)

Concept:  A man wakes up with an alien in his brain, an alien who has been on Earth for millions of year, and whose race has split into two warring factions.

Sub-genre: First contact

Market: Young Adult

Series: Yes, he has written a sequel

Debut Novel: It appears to be his debut novel.

Nationality of Author: Born in Taiwan and migrated to the US.

11. The Lost Fleet: Beyond the Frontier: Guardian, Jack Campbell (1473)

Concept: An alliance fleet travels into unexplored space, runs into an alien race and discovers an alien spacescraft that they endeavour to return home with while battling rebel forces.

Sub-genre: Military/first contact

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, this is part of a series

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: Jack Campbell is the pseudonym for American science fiction author John G. Hemry.

12. Darwin Elevator: Dire Earth Cycle 1, James M. Hough (1376)

Concept:  An alien plague has devastated the world and the survivors gather at a space elevator in Darwin.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, first in a series

Debut Novel: Yes, he started writing the novel in NaNoWriMo 2008

Nationality of Author: Even though the novel is set in Australia, he’s an American.

13. The Long War: Long Earth 2, Terry Prachett and Stephen Baxter (1195)

Concept: Mankind’s thoughtless exploitation of a new Earth brings them into conflict with the local hive-minded humanoids.

Sub-genre: First contact

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Authors: British and American.

14. Shadow Freedom: Honor Harrington 14, David Weber (1137)

Concept: Intergalactic intrigue and rebellions (sounds a bit like Game of Thrones in space).

Sub-genre: Space opera

Market: Adult

Series: You bet, with 14 novels so far.

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author:  American.

15. Perdition: Dred Chronicles 1, Anne Agurrie (1052)

Concept: The Dred Queen fights to keep control of her territory on a huge prison spaceship.

Sub-genre: Dystopian

Market: Adult

Series: First in a series

Debut Novel: No, she has written many novels

Nationality of Author: American who lives in Mexico.

16. The Best of all Possible Worlds, Karen Lord (1038)

Concept: The survivors of an alien race try to adapt to life on a planet inhabited by a race of distant humanoid relatives.

Sub-genre: First contact

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: Barbadian.

17. Terms of Enlistment, Marko Kloos (921)

Concept: In 2106, a man enlists in the military to escape all-prevailing poverty, but finds military service a lot more dangerous than expected.

Sub-genre: Dystopian/military

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, the first in a series

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: Born in Germany, moved to the US.

18. Brilliance, Marcus Sakey (921)

Concept: In a world where one percent of the population are born with special powers, a detective searches for a terrorist.

Sub-genre: Thriller

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: American.

19. CyberStorm, Matthew Mather (569)

Concept: As the world and cyberworlds come crashing down, bending perception and reality, a monster snowstorm cuts New York off from the world, becoming a wintry tomb where no one can be trusted, and nothing is what it seems...
Sub-genre: Techno-thriller

Market: Adult

Series: No

Debut Novel: No

Nationality of Author: British.

20. Ancillary Justice: Imperial Radch 1, Anne Leckie (389)

Concept: On an isolated ice planet, a wronged soldier plots revenge against the Lord of the empire.

Sub-genre: Space opera

Market: Adult

Series: Yes, first in a series

Debut Novel: Yes

Nationality of Author: American.

Sub-genre

From the descriptions, I classified the books into the following sub-genres:

Dystopian 6

First Contact 5

Military 2

Space Opera 2

Thriller 2

Military/First Contact 1

Dystopian/Military 1
Techno-Thriller 1

So according to the Goodreads poll, a third of the books readers really enjoyed reading in 2013 were dystopian. In reference to John Marsden in the previous blog post, readers do not seem to be tiring of dystopian science fiction. Indeed, three of the top four novels had dystopian elements. If I was a publisher, I would not be giving up publishing dystopian fiction yet.

Surprisingly, six of the voted on novels had major elements of first contact. This surprised and delighted me, as I enjoy first contact novels and the epic I just finished writing the first draft of is a first contact novel with space opera elements.

In my last post, I analysed some of the science fiction novels published by various publishers in January 2014, listed in a blog post on Tor. In that post, a third of the novels were dystopian, this matches what readers are enjoying reading. But publishers may want to consider publishing more first contact novels, as only one first contact novel was in that Tor blog post, as compared to six in Goodreads Choice
Awards.   

Market

Only one of the books appears aimed at the young adult market, the rest appear to be adult. But in January, four of the 13 listed published novels were young adult. So are publishers publishing too much young adult fiction? Or do young adults have better things to do than join Goodreads, write reviews and vote in the choice awards?  

Series

Eight of the novels are the continuation of a series. Five are the first book in a purported series, leaving only seven as standalone novels, some of which may end up with sequels.

Eight of the thirteen books published in January were also series. So get out there and write a series.

Debut Novel

Only three of the novels voted for were debut novels, which makes sense as eight of the novels were series. Debut novelists also have to build up a following before a lot of people will read and vote for them.

Nationality of Author

Note: a few of the novels were written by two authors. The authors were:

American: 14

British: 4

Australian: 1

Barbadian: 1

Canadian: 1

Taiwanese who migrated to the US: 1

German who migrated to the US:1

One of the Americans lives in Mexico.

So ideally a science fiction writer should be American.

Ideal Book to Write

So the ideal science fiction book to write appears to be a dystopian/first contact series. If you have made it to the end of this post, I hope I have helped inform you.